Climate Risk Summary

Reston, VA Risk Profile

The primary drivers of climate-related financial risk in Reston, VA are Inland Flooding, Hurricane, and Heat Wave.

City-Wide Aggregation

These scores represent the population-weighted average across all residential blocks in Reston.

Primary Risks

Inland Flooding

$6,614,282

Expected Annual Loss for Reston

31.0Score

Relatively Moderate compared to US average

Reston
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Hurricane

$1,051,550

Expected Annual Loss for Reston

69.8Score

Relatively Moderate compared to US average

Reston
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Heat Wave

$678,248

Expected Annual Loss for Reston

50.0Score

Relatively Moderate compared to US average

Reston
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

City Boundary

Legend
Very Low
Low
Moderate
High
Very High
Extreme

Financial Risk Inventory

MAJOR DRIVER
Inland Flooding
$6,614,282
Score: 31.0
MAJOR DRIVER
Hurricane
$1,051,550
Score: 69.8
MAJOR DRIVER
Heat Wave
$678,248
Score: 50.0
Earthquake
$502,208
Score: 46.5
Cold Wave
$320,495
Score: 31.4
Strong Wind
$246,754
Score: 45.7
Hail
$230,982
Score: 59.5
Lightning
$204,825
Score: 51.1
Tornado
$105,940
Score: 15.5
Winter Weather
$98,976
Score: 68.2
Ice Storm
$35,992
Score: 27.3
Wildfire
$1,196
Score: 30.8
Landslide
$194
Score: 51.5

Recommended investments to protect your property value and reduce insurance liability based on your local risk profile.

🌀High Investment

Hurricane Mitigation

Install permanent hurricane shutters or upgrade to impact-resistant windows.

Risk Score: 69.8
🧊Medium Investment

Hail Mitigation

Replace roof with Class 4 impact-resistant shingles to significantly lower insurance premiums.

Risk Score: 59.5
🏠Low Investment

Lightning Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 51.1
🏠Low Investment

Winter Weather Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 68.2
⛰️High Investment

Landslide Mitigation

Professional slope stabilization and foundation drainage inspection is highly recommended.

Risk Score: 51.5

Sources and Methodology

Spatial Aggregation

Our "Atlas" risk scores are derived using a population-weighted spatial join. Because US Zip Codes and Census Tracts do not share perfectly aligned boundaries, a simple geographic average would be misleading. We utilize US Census Block Group population statistics to identify where residents actually live within a Zip Code. We then intersect these points with FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) hazard data to calculate a weighted exposure score.

Financial Projections (EAL)

Expected Annual Loss (EAL) estimates the average economic impact of natural hazards in dollars per year. This calculation incorporates three components: Exposure (the value of structures and agriculture), Annualized Frequency (historical probability), and Historic Loss Ratio (vulnerability of the area).

Primary Data Sources

  • FEMA National Risk IndexHazard frequency and loss data (v1.20.0)
  • U.S. Census BureauTIGER/Line 2025 Shapefiles & Decennial Population

Nearby Cities

Zip Codes in Reston