Climate Risk Summary

Zip Code 24121, Risk Profile

The primary drivers of climate-related financial risk in North Shore, VA (24121) are Inland Flooding, Strong Wind, and Hurricane. This area also faces an unusually high intensity for Drought and Landslide compared to national averages.

Understanding the Dollars

Expected Annual Loss (EAL) is a statistical average of property damage for this entire zip code over a standard year across all properties.

  • / It represents the "average cost" rather than a guaranteed yearly bill.
  • / It can be used to compare the relative risk from different hazards and across different neighborhoods.

Primary Risks

Inland Flooding

$3,139,740

Expected Annual Loss for Zip Code 24121

66.3Score

Very High compared to US average

24121
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Strong Wind

$130,153

Expected Annual Loss for Zip Code 24121

74.4Score

Relatively High compared to US average

24121
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Hurricane

$113,752

Expected Annual Loss for Zip Code 24121

65.0Score

Relatively Low compared to US average

24121
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Zip Code Risk Map

Legend
Very Low
Low
Moderate
High
Very High
Extreme

Financial Risk Inventory

MAJOR DRIVER
Inland Flooding
$3,139,740
Score: 66.3
MAJOR DRIVER
Strong Wind
$130,153
Score: 74.4
MAJOR DRIVER
Hurricane
$113,752
Score: 65.0
Cold Wave
$62,139
Score: 32.4
Lightning
$58,469
Score: 67.7
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Drought
$50,431
Score: 85.3
Tornado
$48,391
Score: 28.9
Earthquake
$37,515
Score: 32.4
Hail
$17,330
Score: 46.6
Heat Wave
$16,797
Score: 7.3
Ice Storm
$12,188
Score: 45.1
Winter Weather
$11,089
Score: 59.1
Wildfire
$10,947
Score: 74.3
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Landslide
$465
Score: 82.7

Recommended Mitigation Strategies

Recommended investments to protect your property value and reduce insurance liability based on your local risk profile.

💧Medium Investment

Inland Flooding Mitigation

Install a smart sump pump with battery backup and extend downspouts 10ft from foundation.

Risk Score: 66.3
💨Low Investment

Strong Wind Mitigation

Trim large trees back from the roofline and reinforce roof-to-wall connectors (hurricane straps).

Risk Score: 74.4
🌀High Investment

Hurricane Mitigation

Install permanent hurricane shutters or upgrade to impact-resistant windows.

Risk Score: 65.0
🏠Low Investment

Drought Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 85.3
⛰️High Investment

Landslide Mitigation

Professional slope stabilization and foundation drainage inspection is highly recommended.

Risk Score: 82.7

Methodology and Sources

Spatial Aggregation

Our "Atlas" risk scores are derived using a population-weighted spatial join. Because US Zip Codes and Census Tracts do not share perfectly aligned boundaries, a simple geographic average would be misleading. We utilize US Census Block Group population statistics to identify where residents actually live within a Zip Code. We then intersect these points with FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) hazard data to calculate a weighted exposure score.

Financial Projections (EAL)

Expected Annual Loss (EAL) estimates the average economic impact of natural hazards in dollars per year. This calculation incorporates three components: Exposure (the value of structures and agriculture), Annualized Frequency (historical probability), and Historic Loss Ratio (vulnerability of the area).

Primary Data Sources

  • FEMA National Risk IndexHazard frequency and loss data (v1.20.0)
  • U.S. Census BureauTIGER/Line 2025 Shapefiles & Decennial Population

Nearby Locations

24121 Climate Risk Report | North Shore, VA