Climate Risk Summary

Lynchburg, VA Risk Profile

The primary drivers of climate-related financial risk in Lynchburg, VA are Inland Flooding, Strong Wind, and Earthquake.

City-Wide Aggregation

These scores represent the population-weighted average across all residential blocks in Lynchburg.

Primary Risks

Inland Flooding

$10,138,161

Expected Annual Loss for Lynchburg

39.3Score

Relatively High compared to US average

Lynchburg
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Strong Wind

$1,150,541

Expected Annual Loss for Lynchburg

79.4Score

Relatively High compared to US average

Lynchburg
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Earthquake

$909,222

Expected Annual Loss for Lynchburg

52.0Score

Relatively Moderate compared to US average

Lynchburg
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

City Boundary

Legend
Very Low
Low
Moderate
High
Very High
Extreme

Financial Risk Inventory

MAJOR DRIVER
Inland Flooding
$10,138,161
Score: 39.3
MAJOR DRIVER
Strong Wind
$1,150,541
Score: 79.4
MAJOR DRIVER
Earthquake
$909,222
Score: 52.0
Hurricane
$820,448
Score: 64.9
Lightning
$536,599
Score: 74.9
Tornado
$535,064
Score: 35.1
Heat Wave
$275,392
Score: 20.6
Cold Wave
$168,085
Score: 23.4
Hail
$102,794
Score: 43.9
Ice Storm
$70,886
Score: 39.2
Winter Weather
$56,741
Score: 52.1
Landslide
$3,894
Score: 74.0
Wildfire
$2,579
Score: 34.4

Recommended investments to protect your property value and reduce insurance liability based on your local risk profile.

💨Low Investment

Strong Wind Mitigation

Trim large trees back from the roofline and reinforce roof-to-wall connectors (hurricane straps).

Risk Score: 79.4
🏠Low Investment

Earthquake Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 52.0
🌀High Investment

Hurricane Mitigation

Install permanent hurricane shutters or upgrade to impact-resistant windows.

Risk Score: 64.9
🏠Low Investment

Lightning Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 74.9
🏠Low Investment

Winter Weather Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 52.1
⛰️High Investment

Landslide Mitigation

Professional slope stabilization and foundation drainage inspection is highly recommended.

Risk Score: 74.0

Sources and Methodology

Spatial Aggregation

Our "Atlas" risk scores are derived using a population-weighted spatial join. Because US Zip Codes and Census Tracts do not share perfectly aligned boundaries, a simple geographic average would be misleading. We utilize US Census Block Group population statistics to identify where residents actually live within a Zip Code. We then intersect these points with FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) hazard data to calculate a weighted exposure score.

Financial Projections (EAL)

Expected Annual Loss (EAL) estimates the average economic impact of natural hazards in dollars per year. This calculation incorporates three components: Exposure (the value of structures and agriculture), Annualized Frequency (historical probability), and Historic Loss Ratio (vulnerability of the area).

Primary Data Sources

  • FEMA National Risk IndexHazard frequency and loss data (v1.20.0)
  • U.S. Census BureauTIGER/Line 2025 Shapefiles & Decennial Population

Nearby Cities

Zip Codes in Lynchburg