Climate Risk Summary

Dumbarton, VA Risk Profile

The primary drivers of climate-related financial risk in Dumbarton, VA are Inland Flooding, Earthquake, and Tornado.

City-Wide Aggregation

These scores represent the population-weighted average across all residential blocks in Dumbarton.

Primary Risks

Inland Flooding

$430,197

Expected Annual Loss for Dumbarton

8.3Score

Relatively Low compared to US average

Dumbarton
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Earthquake

$184,711

Expected Annual Loss for Dumbarton

68.2Score

Relatively Low compared to US average

Dumbarton
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Tornado

$95,964

Expected Annual Loss for Dumbarton

41.3Score

Relatively Low compared to US average

Dumbarton
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

City Boundary

Legend
Very Low
Low
Moderate
High
Very High
Extreme

Financial Risk Inventory

MAJOR DRIVER
Inland Flooding
$430,197
Score: 8.3
MAJOR DRIVER
Earthquake
$184,711
Score: 68.2
MAJOR DRIVER
Tornado
$95,964
Score: 41.3
Heat Wave
$73,578
Score: 41.7
Strong Wind
$38,838
Score: 48.4
Lightning
$31,091
Score: 53.0
Hurricane
$31,417
Score: 53.7
Winter Weather
$10,833
Score: 63.0
Ice Storm
$9,465
Score: 43.2
Hail
$6,454
Score: 33.6
Cold Wave
$1,248
Score: 16.3
Wildfire
$123
Score: 31.0
Landslide
$5
Score: 34.8

Recommended investments to protect your property value and reduce insurance liability based on your local risk profile.

🏠Low Investment

Earthquake Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 68.2
🏠Low Investment

Lightning Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 53.0
🌀High Investment

Hurricane Mitigation

Install permanent hurricane shutters or upgrade to impact-resistant windows.

Risk Score: 53.7
🏠Low Investment

Winter Weather Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 63.0

Sources and Methodology

Spatial Aggregation

Our "Atlas" risk scores are derived using a population-weighted spatial join. Because US Zip Codes and Census Tracts do not share perfectly aligned boundaries, a simple geographic average would be misleading. We utilize US Census Block Group population statistics to identify where residents actually live within a Zip Code. We then intersect these points with FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) hazard data to calculate a weighted exposure score.

Financial Projections (EAL)

Expected Annual Loss (EAL) estimates the average economic impact of natural hazards in dollars per year. This calculation incorporates three components: Exposure (the value of structures and agriculture), Annualized Frequency (historical probability), and Historic Loss Ratio (vulnerability of the area).

Primary Data Sources

  • FEMA National Risk IndexHazard frequency and loss data (v1.20.0)
  • U.S. Census BureauTIGER/Line 2025 Shapefiles & Decennial Population

Nearby Cities

Zip Codes in Dumbarton