Climate Risk Summary

Provo, UT Risk Profile

The primary drivers of climate-related financial risk in Provo, UT are Earthquake, Inland Flooding, and Heat Wave. This area also faces an unusually high intensity for Lightning compared to national averages.

City-Wide Aggregation

These scores represent the population-weighted average across all residential blocks in Provo.

Primary Risks

Earthquake

$46,446,193

Expected Annual Loss for Provo

91.9Score

Very High compared to US average

Provo
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Inland Flooding

$10,197,878

Expected Annual Loss for Provo

17.4Score

Very High compared to US average

Provo
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Heat Wave

$1,322,388

Expected Annual Loss for Provo

58.5Score

Relatively Moderate compared to US average

Provo
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

City Boundary

Legend
Very Low
Low
Moderate
High
Very High
Extreme

Financial Risk Inventory

MAJOR DRIVER
Earthquake
$46,446,193
Score: 91.9
MAJOR DRIVER
Inland Flooding
$10,197,878
Score: 17.4
MAJOR DRIVER
Heat Wave
$1,322,388
Score: 58.5
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Lightning
$1,123,435
Score: 86.8
Strong Wind
$407,037
Score: 47.4
Wildfire
$401,659
Score: 41.6
Tornado
$370,214
Score: 26.5
Cold Wave
$180,442
Score: 22.4
Winter Weather
$142,493
Score: 67.6
Hail
$32,865
Score: 24.2
Ice Storm
$21,149
Score: 9.7
Drought
$6,785
Score: 12.7
Landslide
$34
Score: 17.9
Volcanic Activity
$25
Score: 60.5

Recommended investments to protect your property value and reduce insurance liability based on your local risk profile.

🏠Low Investment

Earthquake Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 91.9
☀️Low Investment

Heat Wave Mitigation

Ensure attic insulation is R-49+ and consider a dual-fuel backup generator for AC.

Risk Score: 58.5
🏠Low Investment

Lightning Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 86.8
🏠Low Investment

Winter Weather Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 67.6
🏠Low Investment

Volcanic Activity Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 60.5

Sources and Methodology

Spatial Aggregation

Our "Atlas" risk scores are derived using a population-weighted spatial join. Because US Zip Codes and Census Tracts do not share perfectly aligned boundaries, a simple geographic average would be misleading. We utilize US Census Block Group population statistics to identify where residents actually live within a Zip Code. We then intersect these points with FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) hazard data to calculate a weighted exposure score.

Financial Projections (EAL)

Expected Annual Loss (EAL) estimates the average economic impact of natural hazards in dollars per year. This calculation incorporates three components: Exposure (the value of structures and agriculture), Annualized Frequency (historical probability), and Historic Loss Ratio (vulnerability of the area).

Primary Data Sources

  • FEMA National Risk IndexHazard frequency and loss data (v1.20.0)
  • U.S. Census BureauTIGER/Line 2025 Shapefiles & Decennial Population

Nearby Cities

Zip Codes in Provo