Climate Risk Summary

Johnson City, TX Risk Profile

The primary drivers of climate-related financial risk in Johnson City, TX are Inland Flooding, Drought, and Tornado. This area also faces an unusually high intensity for Hail, Strong Wind, Wildfire, Lightning, and Winter Weather compared to national averages.

City-Wide Aggregation

These scores represent the population-weighted average across all residential blocks in Johnson City.

Primary Risks

Inland Flooding

$637,431

Expected Annual Loss for Johnson City

88.4Score

Relatively High compared to US average

Johnson City
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Drought

$178,560

Expected Annual Loss for Johnson City

98.4Score

Relatively High compared to US average

Johnson City
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Tornado

$111,357

Expected Annual Loss for Johnson City

80.8Score

Relatively High compared to US average

Johnson City
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

City Boundary

Legend
Very Low
Low
Moderate
High
Very High
Extreme

Financial Risk Inventory

MAJOR DRIVER
Inland Flooding
$637,431
Score: 88.4
MAJOR DRIVER
Drought
$178,560
Score: 98.4
MAJOR DRIVER
Tornado
$111,357
Score: 80.8
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Hail
$54,180
Score: 92.8
Cold Wave
$38,234
Score: 64.0
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Strong Wind
$24,650
Score: 81.5
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Wildfire
$23,282
Score: 92.5
Heat Wave
$15,209
Score: 46.6
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Lightning
$15,193
Score: 84.2
Hurricane
$5,700
Score: 53.9
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Winter Weather
$4,989
Score: 84.3
Ice Storm
$825
Score: 25.6
Earthquake
$275
Score: 4.2
Landslide
$6
Score: 65.1

Recommended investments to protect your property value and reduce insurance liability based on your local risk profile.

💧Medium Investment

Inland Flooding Mitigation

Install a smart sump pump with battery backup and extend downspouts 10ft from foundation.

Risk Score: 88.4
🏠Low Investment

Drought Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 98.4
🌪️High Investment

Tornado Mitigation

Reinforce garage doors and consider a FEMA-approved safe room or storm cellar.

Risk Score: 80.8
🧊Medium Investment

Hail Mitigation

Replace roof with Class 4 impact-resistant shingles to significantly lower insurance premiums.

Risk Score: 92.8
🏠Low Investment

Cold Wave Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 64.0
💨Low Investment

Strong Wind Mitigation

Trim large trees back from the roofline and reinforce roof-to-wall connectors (hurricane straps).

Risk Score: 81.5
🔥Low Investment

Wildfire Mitigation

Create a 5ft 'non-combustible' zone around your home using gravel or pavers instead of mulch.

Risk Score: 92.5
🏠Low Investment

Lightning Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 84.2
🌀High Investment

Hurricane Mitigation

Install permanent hurricane shutters or upgrade to impact-resistant windows.

Risk Score: 53.9
🏠Low Investment

Winter Weather Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 84.3
⛰️High Investment

Landslide Mitigation

Professional slope stabilization and foundation drainage inspection is highly recommended.

Risk Score: 65.1

Sources and Methodology

Spatial Aggregation

Our "Atlas" risk scores are derived using a population-weighted spatial join. Because US Zip Codes and Census Tracts do not share perfectly aligned boundaries, a simple geographic average would be misleading. We utilize US Census Block Group population statistics to identify where residents actually live within a Zip Code. We then intersect these points with FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) hazard data to calculate a weighted exposure score.

Financial Projections (EAL)

Expected Annual Loss (EAL) estimates the average economic impact of natural hazards in dollars per year. This calculation incorporates three components: Exposure (the value of structures and agriculture), Annualized Frequency (historical probability), and Historic Loss Ratio (vulnerability of the area).

Primary Data Sources

  • FEMA National Risk IndexHazard frequency and loss data (v1.20.0)
  • U.S. Census BureauTIGER/Line 2025 Shapefiles & Decennial Population

Nearby Cities

Zip Codes in Johnson City

Climate Risk Analysis for Johnson City, TX