Climate Risk Summary

El Refugio, TX Risk Profile

The primary drivers of climate-related financial risk in El Refugio, TX are Cold Wave, Inland Flooding, and Heat Wave. This area also faces an unusually high intensity for Drought compared to national averages.

City-Wide Aggregation

These scores represent the population-weighted average across all residential blocks in El Refugio.

Primary Risks

Cold Wave

$314,924

Expected Annual Loss for El Refugio

99.4Score

Very High compared to US average

El Refugio
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Inland Flooding

$125,219

Expected Annual Loss for El Refugio

42.1Score

Relatively Low compared to US average

El Refugio
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Heat Wave

$15,090

Expected Annual Loss for El Refugio

65.2Score

Relatively Moderate compared to US average

El Refugio
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

City Boundary

Legend
Very Low
Low
Moderate
High
Very High
Extreme

Financial Risk Inventory

MAJOR DRIVER
Cold Wave
$314,924
Score: 99.4
MAJOR DRIVER
Inland Flooding
$125,219
Score: 42.1
MAJOR DRIVER
Heat Wave
$15,090
Score: 65.2
Hurricane
$10,501
Score: 66.1
Tornado
$8,091
Score: 38.3
Hail
$4,089
Score: 65.6
Ice Storm
$1,464
Score: 55.5
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Drought
$1,385
Score: 85.6
Strong Wind
$1,113
Score: 21.4
Wildfire
$901
Score: 77.3
Lightning
$582
Score: 14.9
Winter Weather
$414
Score: 40.8
Earthquake
$372
Score: 8.1
Landslide
$4
Score: 66.1

Recommended investments to protect your property value and reduce insurance liability based on your local risk profile.

🏠Low Investment

Cold Wave Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 99.4
☀️Low Investment

Heat Wave Mitigation

Ensure attic insulation is R-49+ and consider a dual-fuel backup generator for AC.

Risk Score: 65.2
🌀High Investment

Hurricane Mitigation

Install permanent hurricane shutters or upgrade to impact-resistant windows.

Risk Score: 66.1
🧊Medium Investment

Hail Mitigation

Replace roof with Class 4 impact-resistant shingles to significantly lower insurance premiums.

Risk Score: 65.6
❄️Medium Investment

Ice Storm Mitigation

Install a 10kWh backup battery system to keep pipes from freezing during grid failure.

Risk Score: 55.5
🏠Low Investment

Drought Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 85.6
🔥Low Investment

Wildfire Mitigation

Create a 5ft 'non-combustible' zone around your home using gravel or pavers instead of mulch.

Risk Score: 77.3
⛰️High Investment

Landslide Mitigation

Professional slope stabilization and foundation drainage inspection is highly recommended.

Risk Score: 66.1

Sources and Methodology

Spatial Aggregation

Our "Atlas" risk scores are derived using a population-weighted spatial join. Because US Zip Codes and Census Tracts do not share perfectly aligned boundaries, a simple geographic average would be misleading. We utilize US Census Block Group population statistics to identify where residents actually live within a Zip Code. We then intersect these points with FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) hazard data to calculate a weighted exposure score.

Financial Projections (EAL)

Expected Annual Loss (EAL) estimates the average economic impact of natural hazards in dollars per year. This calculation incorporates three components: Exposure (the value of structures and agriculture), Annualized Frequency (historical probability), and Historic Loss Ratio (vulnerability of the area).

Primary Data Sources

  • FEMA National Risk IndexHazard frequency and loss data (v1.20.0)
  • U.S. Census BureauTIGER/Line 2025 Shapefiles & Decennial Population

Nearby Cities

Zip Codes in El Refugio

Climate Risk Analysis for El Refugio, TX