Climate Risk Summary

Smyrna, TN Risk Profile

The primary drivers of climate-related financial risk in Smyrna, TN are Inland Flooding, Cold Wave, and Earthquake. This area also faces an unusually high intensity for Winter Weather compared to national averages.

City-Wide Aggregation

These scores represent the population-weighted average across all residential blocks in Smyrna.

Primary Risks

Inland Flooding

$9,293,683

Expected Annual Loss for Smyrna

68.8Score

Relatively High compared to US average

Smyrna
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Cold Wave

$2,940,387

Expected Annual Loss for Smyrna

89.1Score

Very High compared to US average

Smyrna
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Earthquake

$2,297,245

Expected Annual Loss for Smyrna

78.5Score

Relatively Moderate compared to US average

Smyrna
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

City Boundary

Legend
Very Low
Low
Moderate
High
Very High
Extreme

Financial Risk Inventory

MAJOR DRIVER
Inland Flooding
$9,293,683
Score: 68.8
MAJOR DRIVER
Cold Wave
$2,940,387
Score: 89.1
MAJOR DRIVER
Earthquake
$2,297,245
Score: 78.5
Tornado
$1,596,464
Score: 70.6
Heat Wave
$274,587
Score: 40.7
Strong Wind
$230,954
Score: 60.1
Lightning
$181,541
Score: 65.8
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Winter Weather
$129,533
Score: 85.8
Hail
$50,746
Score: 44.7
Ice Storm
$46,565
Score: 49.9
Hurricane
$10,885
Score: 35.2
Wildfire
$3,066
Score: 53.4
Drought
$1,297
Score: 25.1
Landslide
$1
Score: 15.2

Recommended investments to protect your property value and reduce insurance liability based on your local risk profile.

💧Medium Investment

Inland Flooding Mitigation

Install a smart sump pump with battery backup and extend downspouts 10ft from foundation.

Risk Score: 68.8
🏠Low Investment

Cold Wave Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 89.1
🏠Low Investment

Earthquake Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 78.5
🌪️High Investment

Tornado Mitigation

Reinforce garage doors and consider a FEMA-approved safe room or storm cellar.

Risk Score: 70.6
💨Low Investment

Strong Wind Mitigation

Trim large trees back from the roofline and reinforce roof-to-wall connectors (hurricane straps).

Risk Score: 60.1
🏠Low Investment

Lightning Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 65.8
🏠Low Investment

Winter Weather Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 85.8
🔥Low Investment

Wildfire Mitigation

Create a 5ft 'non-combustible' zone around your home using gravel or pavers instead of mulch.

Risk Score: 53.4

Sources and Methodology

Spatial Aggregation

Our "Atlas" risk scores are derived using a population-weighted spatial join. Because US Zip Codes and Census Tracts do not share perfectly aligned boundaries, a simple geographic average would be misleading. We utilize US Census Block Group population statistics to identify where residents actually live within a Zip Code. We then intersect these points with FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) hazard data to calculate a weighted exposure score.

Financial Projections (EAL)

Expected Annual Loss (EAL) estimates the average economic impact of natural hazards in dollars per year. This calculation incorporates three components: Exposure (the value of structures and agriculture), Annualized Frequency (historical probability), and Historic Loss Ratio (vulnerability of the area).

Primary Data Sources

  • FEMA National Risk IndexHazard frequency and loss data (v1.20.0)
  • U.S. Census BureauTIGER/Line 2025 Shapefiles & Decennial Population

Nearby Cities

Zip Codes in Smyrna