Climate Risk Summary

Zip Code 38570, Risk Profile

The primary drivers of climate-related financial risk in Livingston, TN (38570) are Inland Flooding, Lightning, and Tornado. This area also faces an unusually high intensity for Cold Wave, Strong Wind, Winter Weather, Drought, and Landslide compared to national averages.

Understanding the Dollars

Expected Annual Loss (EAL) is a statistical average of property damage for this entire zip code over a standard year across all properties.

  • / It represents the "average cost" rather than a guaranteed yearly bill.
  • / It can be used to compare the relative risk from different hazards and across different neighborhoods.

Primary Risks

Inland Flooding

$1,286,362

Expected Annual Loss for Zip Code 38570

54.1Score

Relatively Moderate compared to US average

38570
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Lightning

$444,056

Expected Annual Loss for Zip Code 38570

99.7Score

Very High compared to US average

38570 (OUTLIER)
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Tornado

$427,672

Expected Annual Loss for Zip Code 38570

76.6Score

Relatively High compared to US average

38570
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Zip Code Risk Map

Legend
Very Low
Low
Moderate
High
Very High
Extreme

Financial Risk Inventory

MAJOR DRIVER
Inland Flooding
$1,286,362
Score: 54.1
MAJOR DRIVER
Lightning
$444,056
Score: 99.7
MAJOR DRIVER
Tornado
$427,672
Score: 76.6
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Cold Wave
$364,802
Score: 80.9
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Strong Wind
$173,805
Score: 88.3
Earthquake
$165,462
Score: 68.5
Hail
$76,374
Score: 78.7
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Winter Weather
$35,104
Score: 89.9
Ice Storm
$23,695
Score: 72.4
Heat Wave
$15,747
Score: 10.9
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Drought
$13,084
Score: 85.5
Hurricane
$11,177
Score: 48.0
Wildfire
$2,466
Score: 66.2
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Landslide
$249
Score: 82.2

Recommended Mitigation Strategies

Recommended investments to protect your property value and reduce insurance liability based on your local risk profile.

💧Medium Investment

Inland Flooding Mitigation

Install a smart sump pump with battery backup and extend downspouts 10ft from foundation.

Risk Score: 54.1
🏠Low Investment

Lightning Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 99.7
🌪️High Investment

Tornado Mitigation

Reinforce garage doors and consider a FEMA-approved safe room or storm cellar.

Risk Score: 76.6
🏠Low Investment

Cold Wave Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 80.9
💨Low Investment

Strong Wind Mitigation

Trim large trees back from the roofline and reinforce roof-to-wall connectors (hurricane straps).

Risk Score: 88.3
🏠Low Investment

Winter Weather Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 89.9
🏠Low Investment

Drought Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 85.5
⛰️High Investment

Landslide Mitigation

Professional slope stabilization and foundation drainage inspection is highly recommended.

Risk Score: 82.2

Methodology and Sources

Spatial Aggregation

Our "Atlas" risk scores are derived using a population-weighted spatial join. Because US Zip Codes and Census Tracts do not share perfectly aligned boundaries, a simple geographic average would be misleading. We utilize US Census Block Group population statistics to identify where residents actually live within a Zip Code. We then intersect these points with FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) hazard data to calculate a weighted exposure score.

Financial Projections (EAL)

Expected Annual Loss (EAL) estimates the average economic impact of natural hazards in dollars per year. This calculation incorporates three components: Exposure (the value of structures and agriculture), Annualized Frequency (historical probability), and Historic Loss Ratio (vulnerability of the area).

Primary Data Sources

  • FEMA National Risk IndexHazard frequency and loss data (v1.20.0)
  • U.S. Census BureauTIGER/Line 2025 Shapefiles & Decennial Population

Nearby Locations

38570 Climate Risk Report | Livingston, TN