Climate Risk Summary

Zip Code 16504, Risk Profile

The primary drivers of climate-related financial risk in Erie, PA (16504) are Inland Flooding, Strong Wind, and Lightning.

Understanding the Dollars

Expected Annual Loss (EAL) is a statistical average of property damage for this entire zip code over a standard year across all properties.

  • / It represents the "average cost" rather than a guaranteed yearly bill.
  • / It can be used to compare the relative risk from different hazards and across different neighborhoods.

Primary Risks

Inland Flooding

$1,933,054

Expected Annual Loss for Zip Code 16504

57.1Score

Relatively High compared to US average

16504
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Strong Wind

$113,195

Expected Annual Loss for Zip Code 16504

73.7Score

Relatively Moderate compared to US average

16504
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Lightning

$108,975

Expected Annual Loss for Zip Code 16504

86.0Score

Relatively High compared to US average

16504
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Zip Code Risk Map

Legend
Very Low
Low
Moderate
High
Very High
Extreme

Financial Risk Inventory

MAJOR DRIVER
Inland Flooding
$1,933,054
Score: 57.1
MAJOR DRIVER
Strong Wind
$113,195
Score: 73.7
MAJOR DRIVER
Lightning
$108,975
Score: 86.0
Tornado
$89,259
Score: 38.4
Winter Weather
$25,647
Score: 79.6
Cold Wave
$24,548
Score: 23.6
Hurricane
$21,342
Score: 50.3
Heat Wave
$11,878
Score: 5.5
Earthquake
$10,455
Score: 15.3
Ice Storm
$10,220
Score: 42.8
Hail
$6,202
Score: 31.6
Wildfire
$185
Score: 27.4
Landslide
$1
Score: 29.1

Recommended Mitigation Strategies

Recommended investments to protect your property value and reduce insurance liability based on your local risk profile.

💧Medium Investment

Inland Flooding Mitigation

Install a smart sump pump with battery backup and extend downspouts 10ft from foundation.

Risk Score: 57.1
💨Low Investment

Strong Wind Mitigation

Trim large trees back from the roofline and reinforce roof-to-wall connectors (hurricane straps).

Risk Score: 73.7
🏠Low Investment

Lightning Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 86.0

Methodology and Sources

Spatial Aggregation

Our "Atlas" risk scores are derived using a population-weighted spatial join. Because US Zip Codes and Census Tracts do not share perfectly aligned boundaries, a simple geographic average would be misleading. We utilize US Census Block Group population statistics to identify where residents actually live within a Zip Code. We then intersect these points with FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) hazard data to calculate a weighted exposure score.

Financial Projections (EAL)

Expected Annual Loss (EAL) estimates the average economic impact of natural hazards in dollars per year. This calculation incorporates three components: Exposure (the value of structures and agriculture), Annualized Frequency (historical probability), and Historic Loss Ratio (vulnerability of the area).

Primary Data Sources

  • FEMA National Risk IndexHazard frequency and loss data (v1.20.0)
  • U.S. Census BureauTIGER/Line 2025 Shapefiles & Decennial Population

Nearby Locations

Zip Code 16546Zip Code 16503Zip Code 16509Zip Code 16510Zip Code 16508Zip Code 16502