Climate Risk Summary

Middletown, OH Risk Profile

The primary drivers of climate-related financial risk in Middletown, OH are Inland Flooding, Tornado, and Cold Wave.

City-Wide Aggregation

These scores represent the population-weighted average across all residential blocks in Middletown.

Primary Risks

Inland Flooding

$10,754,129

Expected Annual Loss for Middletown

52.6Score

Relatively High compared to US average

Middletown
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Tornado

$2,968,381

Expected Annual Loss for Middletown

72.3Score

Relatively High compared to US average

Middletown
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Cold Wave

$2,027,014

Expected Annual Loss for Middletown

73.0Score

Relatively High compared to US average

Middletown
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

City Boundary

Legend
Very Low
Low
Moderate
High
Very High
Extreme

Financial Risk Inventory

MAJOR DRIVER
Inland Flooding
$10,754,129
Score: 52.6
MAJOR DRIVER
Tornado
$2,968,381
Score: 72.3
MAJOR DRIVER
Cold Wave
$2,027,014
Score: 73.0
Earthquake
$501,782
Score: 46.9
Strong Wind
$334,335
Score: 55.2
Lightning
$244,574
Score: 59.5
Heat Wave
$244,181
Score: 23.2
Ice Storm
$183,840
Score: 71.2
Hail
$124,744
Score: 50.5
Winter Weather
$60,843
Score: 59.1
Drought
$1,950
Score: 22.1
Wildfire
$2,411
Score: 40.4
Hurricane
$1,556
Score: 19.4
Landslide
$89
Score: 45.4

Recommended investments to protect your property value and reduce insurance liability based on your local risk profile.

💧Medium Investment

Inland Flooding Mitigation

Install a smart sump pump with battery backup and extend downspouts 10ft from foundation.

Risk Score: 52.6
🌪️High Investment

Tornado Mitigation

Reinforce garage doors and consider a FEMA-approved safe room or storm cellar.

Risk Score: 72.3
🏠Low Investment

Cold Wave Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 73.0
💨Low Investment

Strong Wind Mitigation

Trim large trees back from the roofline and reinforce roof-to-wall connectors (hurricane straps).

Risk Score: 55.2
🏠Low Investment

Lightning Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 59.5
❄️Medium Investment

Ice Storm Mitigation

Install a 10kWh backup battery system to keep pipes from freezing during grid failure.

Risk Score: 71.2
🧊Medium Investment

Hail Mitigation

Replace roof with Class 4 impact-resistant shingles to significantly lower insurance premiums.

Risk Score: 50.5
🏠Low Investment

Winter Weather Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 59.1

Sources and Methodology

Spatial Aggregation

Our "Atlas" risk scores are derived using a population-weighted spatial join. Because US Zip Codes and Census Tracts do not share perfectly aligned boundaries, a simple geographic average would be misleading. We utilize US Census Block Group population statistics to identify where residents actually live within a Zip Code. We then intersect these points with FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) hazard data to calculate a weighted exposure score.

Financial Projections (EAL)

Expected Annual Loss (EAL) estimates the average economic impact of natural hazards in dollars per year. This calculation incorporates three components: Exposure (the value of structures and agriculture), Annualized Frequency (historical probability), and Historic Loss Ratio (vulnerability of the area).

Primary Data Sources

  • FEMA National Risk IndexHazard frequency and loss data (v1.20.0)
  • U.S. Census BureauTIGER/Line 2025 Shapefiles & Decennial Population

Nearby Cities

Zip Codes in Middletown