Climate Risk Summary

Lancaster, NY Risk Profile

The primary drivers of climate-related financial risk in Lancaster, NY are Inland Flooding, Cold Wave, and Tornado. This area also faces an unusually high intensity for Winter Weather compared to national averages.

City-Wide Aggregation

These scores represent the population-weighted average across all residential blocks in Lancaster.

Primary Risks

Inland Flooding

$1,341,851

Expected Annual Loss for Lancaster

47.4Score

Relatively Moderate compared to US average

Lancaster
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Cold Wave

$597,757

Expected Annual Loss for Lancaster

86.3Score

Relatively High compared to US average

Lancaster
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Tornado

$124,248

Expected Annual Loss for Lancaster

46.4Score

Relatively Low compared to US average

Lancaster
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

City Boundary

Legend
Very Low
Low
Moderate
High
Very High
Extreme

Financial Risk Inventory

MAJOR DRIVER
Inland Flooding
$1,341,851
Score: 47.4
MAJOR DRIVER
Cold Wave
$597,757
Score: 86.3
MAJOR DRIVER
Tornado
$124,248
Score: 46.4
Heat Wave
$72,475
Score: 41.9
Earthquake
$36,371
Score: 35.7
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Winter Weather
$24,781
Score: 81.9
Ice Storm
$13,510
Score: 53.9
Strong Wind
$12,703
Score: 24.4
Lightning
$10,521
Score: 25.6
Hurricane
$5,418
Score: 40.7
Hail
$1,052
Score: 12.3
Wildfire
$709
Score: 52.7
Landslide
$0
Score: 23.1

Recommended investments to protect your property value and reduce insurance liability based on your local risk profile.

🏠Low Investment

Cold Wave Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 86.3
🏠Low Investment

Winter Weather Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 81.9
❄️Medium Investment

Ice Storm Mitigation

Install a 10kWh backup battery system to keep pipes from freezing during grid failure.

Risk Score: 53.9
🔥Low Investment

Wildfire Mitigation

Create a 5ft 'non-combustible' zone around your home using gravel or pavers instead of mulch.

Risk Score: 52.7

Sources and Methodology

Spatial Aggregation

Our "Atlas" risk scores are derived using a population-weighted spatial join. Because US Zip Codes and Census Tracts do not share perfectly aligned boundaries, a simple geographic average would be misleading. We utilize US Census Block Group population statistics to identify where residents actually live within a Zip Code. We then intersect these points with FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) hazard data to calculate a weighted exposure score.

Financial Projections (EAL)

Expected Annual Loss (EAL) estimates the average economic impact of natural hazards in dollars per year. This calculation incorporates three components: Exposure (the value of structures and agriculture), Annualized Frequency (historical probability), and Historic Loss Ratio (vulnerability of the area).

Primary Data Sources

  • FEMA National Risk IndexHazard frequency and loss data (v1.20.0)
  • U.S. Census BureauTIGER/Line 2025 Shapefiles & Decennial Population

Nearby Cities

Zip Codes in Lancaster