Climate Risk Summary

Burnt Mills, MD Risk Profile

The primary drivers of climate-related financial risk in Burnt Mills, MD are Inland Flooding, Earthquake, and Hurricane. This area also faces an unusually high intensity for Winter Weather compared to national averages. Based on recent federal data, homeowners in this market face an estimated average annual insurance premium of $1,375, with a local policy non-renewal rate of 0.5%.

City Risk Scorecard
Physical Resilience81/100

Based on FEMA EAL and hazard intensity.

Insurance Stability
Market Stable

Metrics indicate a balanced risk-to-premium environment with standard renewal rates.

Primary Risks

Inland Flooding

$443,301

Expected Annual Loss for Burnt Mills

49.5Score

Relatively Moderate compared to US average

Burnt Mills
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Earthquake

$62,747

Expected Annual Loss for Burnt Mills

70.4Score

Relatively Low compared to US average

Burnt Mills
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Hurricane

$55,576

Expected Annual Loss for Burnt Mills

73.9Score

Relatively Low compared to US average

Burnt Mills
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Spatial Analysis

FEMA Flood Zones
FloodwayHighest Risk / Active Channel
High Risk (100-Year)1% Annual Chance Flood
Moderate Risk (500-Year)0.2% Annual Chance Flood
NRI Risk Index
Very Low
Low
Moderate
High
Very High
Extreme

Flood Plain Analysis

Localized Flood Dynamics in Burnt Mills

FEMA Flood Maps for Burnt Mills identify the "100-year" and "500-year" floodplains (1% and 0.2% annual chance), but modern climate risk analysis suggests that nearly 25% of flood insurance claims originate from properties outside of these designated high-risk zones.

Use the map above to better understand risk by looking at both the FEMA flood plain maps and FEMA Risk Inventory maps by census tract. Standard FEMA maps may not account for 'flash flooding' from intense rain events.
FEMA Designation vs. Reality
Relatively Moderate
Relative Vulnerability
$443,301
Annualized Property Exposure

Insurance Market Stability

Avg. Annual Premium

$1,375

Estimated baseline property insurance cost prior to localized disaster surcharges.

Non-Renewal Rate

0.5%

The percentage of homeowner policies canceled by insurers, a key indicator of market retreat.

Insurer Loss Ratio

51%

For every $1 collected in premium, insurers are paying out $0.51 in claims.

Financial Risk Inventory

MAJOR DRIVER
Inland Flooding
$443,301
Score: 49.5
MAJOR DRIVER
Earthquake
$62,747
Score: 70.4
MAJOR DRIVER
Hurricane
$55,576
Score: 73.9
Heat Wave
$55,268
Score: 68.5
Cold Wave
$31,483
Score: 44.8
Tornado
$20,958
Score: 35.8
Strong Wind
$19,377
Score: 61.4
Hail
$13,095
Score: 66.3
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Winter Weather
$11,492
Score: 87.6
Lightning
$7,614
Score: 45.6
Ice Storm
$829
Score: 14.6
Wildfire
$52
Score: 34.9
Landslide
$52
Score: 78.0

Recommended Mitigation Strategies

Recommended investments to protect your property value and reduce insurance liability based on your local risk profile.

🏠Low Investment

Earthquake Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 70.4
🌀High Investment

Hurricane Mitigation

Install permanent hurricane shutters or upgrade to impact-resistant windows.

Risk Score: 73.9
☀️Low Investment

Heat Wave Mitigation

Ensure attic insulation is R-49+ and consider a dual-fuel backup generator for AC.

Risk Score: 68.5
💨Low Investment

Strong Wind Mitigation

Trim large trees back from the roofline and reinforce roof-to-wall connectors (hurricane straps).

Risk Score: 61.4
🧊Medium Investment

Hail Mitigation

Replace roof with Class 4 impact-resistant shingles to significantly lower insurance premiums.

Risk Score: 66.3
🏠Low Investment

Winter Weather Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 87.6
⛰️High Investment

Landslide Mitigation

Professional slope stabilization and foundation drainage inspection is highly recommended.

Risk Score: 78.0

Sources and Methodology

Spatial Climate Risk Modeling

The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) and hazard risk scores are derived from the FEMA NRI zip code dataset using a population-weighted spatial join. Because Zip Codes and Census Tracts do not share perfectly aligned boundaries, we utilize US Census Block Group population centroids to identify where residents actually live.

Financial & Insurance Metrics

The pysical resilence score is calculated by synthesizing Expected Annual Loss (EAL) against the total building replacement value within a jurisdiction. This creates a "Loss Ratio" that measures physical resilience. We supplement this with ZIP-code level data from the U.S. Treasury's Federal Insurance Office (FIO), monitoring trends in premium growth, loss ratios, and policy non-renewals to identify emerging "Insurance Deserts."

Primary Data Sources

Nearby Cities

Zip Codes in Burnt Mills

Climate Risk Analysis for Burnt Mills, MD