Climate Risk Summary

St. Louis, MO Risk Profile

The primary drivers of climate-related financial risk in St. Louis, MO are Heat Wave, Inland Flooding, and Earthquake. This area also faces an unusually high intensity for Tornado compared to national averages.

City-Wide Aggregation

These scores represent the population-weighted average across all residential blocks in St. Louis.

Primary Risks

Heat Wave

$172,438,855

Expected Annual Loss for St. Louis

99.7Score

Very High compared to US average

St. Louis (OUTLIER)
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Inland Flooding

$90,854,423

Expected Annual Loss for St. Louis

70.4Score

Very High compared to US average

St. Louis
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Earthquake

$58,278,117

Expected Annual Loss for St. Louis

86.7Score

Very High compared to US average

St. Louis
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

City Boundary

Legend
Very Low
Low
Moderate
High
Very High
Extreme

Financial Risk Inventory

MAJOR DRIVER
Heat Wave
$172,438,855
Score: 99.7
MAJOR DRIVER
Inland Flooding
$90,854,423
Score: 70.4
MAJOR DRIVER
Earthquake
$58,278,117
Score: 86.7
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Tornado
$28,286,173
Score: 84.6
Cold Wave
$4,511,043
Score: 50.8
Strong Wind
$2,278,698
Score: 60.7
Hail
$1,095,668
Score: 58.0
Lightning
$874,443
Score: 46.5
Ice Storm
$433,899
Score: 48.3
Winter Weather
$162,431
Score: 43.3
Hurricane
$13,192
Score: 21.6
Wildfire
$831
Score: 10.4
Landslide
$827
Score: 46.1

Recommended investments to protect your property value and reduce insurance liability based on your local risk profile.

☀️Low Investment

Heat Wave Mitigation

Ensure attic insulation is R-49+ and consider a dual-fuel backup generator for AC.

Risk Score: 99.7
💧Medium Investment

Inland Flooding Mitigation

Install a smart sump pump with battery backup and extend downspouts 10ft from foundation.

Risk Score: 70.4
🏠Low Investment

Earthquake Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 86.7
🌪️High Investment

Tornado Mitigation

Reinforce garage doors and consider a FEMA-approved safe room or storm cellar.

Risk Score: 84.6
🏠Low Investment

Cold Wave Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 50.8
💨Low Investment

Strong Wind Mitigation

Trim large trees back from the roofline and reinforce roof-to-wall connectors (hurricane straps).

Risk Score: 60.7
🧊Medium Investment

Hail Mitigation

Replace roof with Class 4 impact-resistant shingles to significantly lower insurance premiums.

Risk Score: 58.0

Sources and Methodology

Spatial Aggregation

Our "Atlas" risk scores are derived using a population-weighted spatial join. Because US Zip Codes and Census Tracts do not share perfectly aligned boundaries, a simple geographic average would be misleading. We utilize US Census Block Group population statistics to identify where residents actually live within a Zip Code. We then intersect these points with FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) hazard data to calculate a weighted exposure score.

Financial Projections (EAL)

Expected Annual Loss (EAL) estimates the average economic impact of natural hazards in dollars per year. This calculation incorporates three components: Exposure (the value of structures and agriculture), Annualized Frequency (historical probability), and Historic Loss Ratio (vulnerability of the area).

Primary Data Sources

  • FEMA National Risk IndexHazard frequency and loss data (v1.20.0)
  • U.S. Census BureauTIGER/Line 2025 Shapefiles & Decennial Population

Nearby Cities

Zip Codes in St. Louis