Climate Risk Summary

Zip Code 63136, Risk Profile

The primary drivers of climate-related financial risk in Bellefontaine Neighbors, MO (63136) are Heat Wave, Inland Flooding, and Earthquake. This area also faces an unusually high intensity for Hail compared to national averages.

Understanding the Dollars

Expected Annual Loss (EAL) is a statistical average of property damage for this entire zip code over a standard year across all properties.

  • / It represents the "average cost" rather than a guaranteed yearly bill.
  • / It can be used to compare the relative risk from different hazards and across different neighborhoods.

Primary Risks

Heat Wave

$11,044,260

Expected Annual Loss for Zip Code 63136

99.2Score

Very High compared to US average

63136 (OUTLIER)
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Inland Flooding

$9,542,228

Expected Annual Loss for Zip Code 63136

75.4Score

Relatively High compared to US average

63136
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Earthquake

$5,344,861

Expected Annual Loss for Zip Code 63136

87.2Score

Relatively High compared to US average

63136
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Zip Code Risk Map

Legend
Very Low
Low
Moderate
High
Very High
Extreme

Financial Risk Inventory

MAJOR DRIVER
Heat Wave
$11,044,260
Score: 99.2
MAJOR DRIVER
Inland Flooding
$9,542,228
Score: 75.4
MAJOR DRIVER
Earthquake
$5,344,861
Score: 87.2
Cold Wave
$1,574,540
Score: 79.7
Tornado
$1,231,457
Score: 65.3
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Hail
$804,048
Score: 87.9
Lightning
$195,264
Score: 70.5
Strong Wind
$98,750
Score: 38.9
Ice Storm
$88,006
Score: 68.4
Winter Weather
$44,426
Score: 65.5
Hurricane
$1,087
Score: 20.9
Wildfire
$311
Score: 22.0
Landslide
$145
Score: 64.0
Drought
$57
Score: 5.9

Recommended Mitigation Strategies

Recommended investments to protect your property value and reduce insurance liability based on your local risk profile.

☀️Low Investment

Heat Wave Mitigation

Ensure attic insulation is R-49+ and consider a dual-fuel backup generator for AC.

Risk Score: 99.2
💧Medium Investment

Inland Flooding Mitigation

Install a smart sump pump with battery backup and extend downspouts 10ft from foundation.

Risk Score: 75.4
🏠Low Investment

Earthquake Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 87.2
🧊Medium Investment

Hail Mitigation

Replace roof with Class 4 impact-resistant shingles to significantly lower insurance premiums.

Risk Score: 87.9

Methodology and Sources

Spatial Aggregation

Our "Atlas" risk scores are derived using a population-weighted spatial join. Because US Zip Codes and Census Tracts do not share perfectly aligned boundaries, a simple geographic average would be misleading. We utilize US Census Block Group population statistics to identify where residents actually live within a Zip Code. We then intersect these points with FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) hazard data to calculate a weighted exposure score.

Financial Projections (EAL)

Expected Annual Loss (EAL) estimates the average economic impact of natural hazards in dollars per year. This calculation incorporates three components: Exposure (the value of structures and agriculture), Annualized Frequency (historical probability), and Historic Loss Ratio (vulnerability of the area).

Primary Data Sources

  • FEMA National Risk IndexHazard frequency and loss data (v1.20.0)
  • U.S. Census BureauTIGER/Line 2025 Shapefiles & Decennial Population

Nearby Locations