Climate Risk Summary

Blaine, MN Risk Profile

The primary drivers of climate-related financial risk in Blaine, MN are Inland Flooding, Strong Wind, and Tornado. This area also faces an unusually high intensity for Hail compared to national averages. Based on recent federal data, homeowners in this market face an estimated average annual insurance premium of $2,119, with a local policy non-renewal rate of 0.8%.

City Risk Scorecard
Physical Resilience56/100

Based on FEMA EAL and hazard intensity.

Insurance Stability
Market Stable

Metrics indicate a balanced risk-to-premium environment with standard renewal rates.

Primary Risks

Inland Flooding

$19,837,219

Expected Annual Loss for Blaine

56.7Score

Relatively High compared to US average

Blaine
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Strong Wind

$2,478,095

Expected Annual Loss for Blaine

89.4Score

Very High compared to US average

Blaine
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Tornado

$2,099,512

Expected Annual Loss for Blaine

55.6Score

Relatively Moderate compared to US average

Blaine
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Spatial Analysis

FEMA Flood Zones
FloodwayHighest Risk / Active Channel
High Risk (100-Year)1% Annual Chance Flood
Moderate Risk (500-Year)0.2% Annual Chance Flood
NRI Risk Index
Very Low
Low
Moderate
High
Very High
Extreme

Flood Plain Analysis

Localized Flood Dynamics in Blaine

FEMA Flood Maps for Blaine identify the "100-year" and "500-year" floodplains (1% and 0.2% annual chance), but modern climate risk analysis suggests that nearly 25% of flood insurance claims originate from properties outside of these designated high-risk zones.

Use the map above to better understand risk by looking at both the FEMA flood plain maps and FEMA Risk Inventory maps by census tract. Standard FEMA maps may not account for 'flash flooding' from intense rain events.
FEMA Designation vs. Reality
Relatively High
Relative Vulnerability
$19,837,219
Annualized Property Exposure

Insurance Market Stability

Avg. Annual Premium

$2,119

Estimated baseline property insurance cost prior to localized disaster surcharges.

Non-Renewal Rate

0.8%

The percentage of homeowner policies canceled by insurers, a key indicator of market retreat.

Insurer Loss Ratio

33%

For every $1 collected in premium, insurers are paying out $0.33 in claims.

Financial Risk Inventory

MAJOR DRIVER
Inland Flooding
$19,837,219
Score: 56.7
MAJOR DRIVER
Strong Wind
$2,478,095
Score: 89.4
MAJOR DRIVER
Tornado
$2,099,512
Score: 55.6
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Hail
$1,238,913
Score: 81.3
Cold Wave
$840,708
Score: 40.3
Heat Wave
$799,644
Score: 43.9
Lightning
$475,416
Score: 66.4
Ice Storm
$114,747
Score: 48.2
Winter Weather
$91,438
Score: 58.8
Wildfire
$70,203
Score: 54.9
Earthquake
$13,726
Score: 3.4
Drought
$736
Score: 33.7
Landslide
$158
Score: 48.4

Recommended Mitigation Strategies

Recommended investments to protect your property value and reduce insurance liability based on your local risk profile.

💧Medium Investment

Inland Flooding Mitigation

Install a smart sump pump with battery backup and extend downspouts 10ft from foundation.

Risk Score: 56.7
💨Low Investment

Strong Wind Mitigation

Trim large trees back from the roofline and reinforce roof-to-wall connectors (hurricane straps).

Risk Score: 89.4
🌪️High Investment

Tornado Mitigation

Reinforce garage doors and consider a FEMA-approved safe room or storm cellar.

Risk Score: 55.6
🧊Medium Investment

Hail Mitigation

Replace roof with Class 4 impact-resistant shingles to significantly lower insurance premiums.

Risk Score: 81.3
🏠Low Investment

Lightning Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 66.4
🏠Low Investment

Winter Weather Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 58.8
🔥Low Investment

Wildfire Mitigation

Create a 5ft 'non-combustible' zone around your home using gravel or pavers instead of mulch.

Risk Score: 54.9

Sources and Methodology

Spatial Climate Risk Modeling

The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) and hazard risk scores are derived from the FEMA NRI zip code dataset using a population-weighted spatial join. Because Zip Codes and Census Tracts do not share perfectly aligned boundaries, we utilize US Census Block Group population centroids to identify where residents actually live.

Financial & Insurance Metrics

The pysical resilence score is calculated by synthesizing Expected Annual Loss (EAL) against the total building replacement value within a jurisdiction. This creates a "Loss Ratio" that measures physical resilience. We supplement this with ZIP-code level data from the U.S. Treasury's Federal Insurance Office (FIO), monitoring trends in premium growth, loss ratios, and policy non-renewals to identify emerging "Insurance Deserts."

Primary Data Sources

Nearby Cities

Zip Codes in Blaine

Climate Risk Analysis for Blaine, MN