Climate Risk Summary

Ballwin, MO Risk Profile

The primary drivers of climate-related financial risk in Ballwin, MO are Heat Wave, Inland Flooding, and Earthquake. This area also faces an unusually high intensity for Cold Wave, Hail, Ice Storm, and Landslide compared to national averages.

City-Wide Aggregation

These scores represent the population-weighted average across all residential blocks in Ballwin.

Primary Risks

Heat Wave

$7,683,840

Expected Annual Loss for Ballwin

99.4Score

Very High compared to US average

Ballwin (OUTLIER)
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Inland Flooding

$6,365,721

Expected Annual Loss for Ballwin

77.0Score

Relatively High compared to US average

Ballwin
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Earthquake

$3,134,057

Expected Annual Loss for Ballwin

85.2Score

Relatively High compared to US average

Ballwin
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

City Boundary

Legend
Very Low
Low
Moderate
High
Very High
Extreme

Financial Risk Inventory

MAJOR DRIVER
Heat Wave
$7,683,840
Score: 99.4
MAJOR DRIVER
Inland Flooding
$6,365,721
Score: 77.0
MAJOR DRIVER
Earthquake
$3,134,057
Score: 85.2
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Cold Wave
$1,237,432
Score: 83.0
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Hail
$1,012,095
Score: 94.8
Tornado
$718,543
Score: 62.4
Lightning
$168,870
Score: 77.9
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Ice Storm
$102,995
Score: 80.4
Strong Wind
$63,640
Score: 37.7
Winter Weather
$42,674
Score: 74.0
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Landslide
$2,948
Score: 81.2
Hurricane
$1,301
Score: 24.2
Wildfire
$680
Score: 39.7

Recommended investments to protect your property value and reduce insurance liability based on your local risk profile.

☀️Low Investment

Heat Wave Mitigation

Ensure attic insulation is R-49+ and consider a dual-fuel backup generator for AC.

Risk Score: 99.4
💧Medium Investment

Inland Flooding Mitigation

Install a smart sump pump with battery backup and extend downspouts 10ft from foundation.

Risk Score: 77.0
🏠Low Investment

Earthquake Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 85.2
🏠Low Investment

Cold Wave Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 83.0
🧊Medium Investment

Hail Mitigation

Replace roof with Class 4 impact-resistant shingles to significantly lower insurance premiums.

Risk Score: 94.8
🌪️High Investment

Tornado Mitigation

Reinforce garage doors and consider a FEMA-approved safe room or storm cellar.

Risk Score: 62.4
🏠Low Investment

Lightning Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 77.9
❄️Medium Investment

Ice Storm Mitigation

Install a 10kWh backup battery system to keep pipes from freezing during grid failure.

Risk Score: 80.4
🏠Low Investment

Winter Weather Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 74.0
⛰️High Investment

Landslide Mitigation

Professional slope stabilization and foundation drainage inspection is highly recommended.

Risk Score: 81.2

Sources and Methodology

Spatial Aggregation

Our "Atlas" risk scores are derived using a population-weighted spatial join. Because US Zip Codes and Census Tracts do not share perfectly aligned boundaries, a simple geographic average would be misleading. We utilize US Census Block Group population statistics to identify where residents actually live within a Zip Code. We then intersect these points with FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) hazard data to calculate a weighted exposure score.

Financial Projections (EAL)

Expected Annual Loss (EAL) estimates the average economic impact of natural hazards in dollars per year. This calculation incorporates three components: Exposure (the value of structures and agriculture), Annualized Frequency (historical probability), and Historic Loss Ratio (vulnerability of the area).

Primary Data Sources

  • FEMA National Risk IndexHazard frequency and loss data (v1.20.0)
  • U.S. Census BureauTIGER/Line 2025 Shapefiles & Decennial Population

Nearby Cities

Zip Codes in Ballwin