Climate Risk Summary

Lexington-Fayette urban county, KY Risk Profile

The primary drivers of climate-related financial risk in Lexington-Fayette urban county, KY are Inland Flooding, Tornado, and Cold Wave. This area also faces an unusually high intensity for Winter Weather compared to national averages.

City-Wide Aggregation

These scores represent the population-weighted average across all residential blocks in Lexington-Fayette urban county.

Primary Risks

Inland Flooding

$52,687,365

Expected Annual Loss for Lexington-Fayette urban county

51.3Score

Relatively High compared to US average

Lexington-Fayette urban county
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Tornado

$23,933,400

Expected Annual Loss for Lexington-Fayette urban county

84.6Score

Very High compared to US average

Lexington-Fayette urban county
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Cold Wave

$15,681,229

Expected Annual Loss for Lexington-Fayette urban county

82.4Score

Relatively High compared to US average

Lexington-Fayette urban county
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

City Boundary

Legend
Very Low
Low
Moderate
High
Very High
Extreme

Financial Risk Inventory

MAJOR DRIVER
Inland Flooding
$52,687,365
Score: 51.3
MAJOR DRIVER
Tornado
$23,933,400
Score: 84.6
MAJOR DRIVER
Cold Wave
$15,681,229
Score: 82.4
Earthquake
$8,922,222
Score: 71.1
Strong Wind
$3,114,307
Score: 72.8
Heat Wave
$2,373,867
Score: 43.2
Hail
$2,298,096
Score: 73.1
Lightning
$2,134,043
Score: 77.1
Ice Storm
$1,051,085
Score: 74.0
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Winter Weather
$876,079
Score: 83.4
Hurricane
$149,032
Score: 37.8
Wildfire
$11,999
Score: 40.7
Drought
$6,465
Score: 13.7
Landslide
$54
Score: 18.0

Recommended investments to protect your property value and reduce insurance liability based on your local risk profile.

💧Medium Investment

Inland Flooding Mitigation

Install a smart sump pump with battery backup and extend downspouts 10ft from foundation.

Risk Score: 51.3
🌪️High Investment

Tornado Mitigation

Reinforce garage doors and consider a FEMA-approved safe room or storm cellar.

Risk Score: 84.6
🏠Low Investment

Cold Wave Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 82.4
🏠Low Investment

Earthquake Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 71.1
💨Low Investment

Strong Wind Mitigation

Trim large trees back from the roofline and reinforce roof-to-wall connectors (hurricane straps).

Risk Score: 72.8
🧊Medium Investment

Hail Mitigation

Replace roof with Class 4 impact-resistant shingles to significantly lower insurance premiums.

Risk Score: 73.1
🏠Low Investment

Lightning Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 77.1
❄️Medium Investment

Ice Storm Mitigation

Install a 10kWh backup battery system to keep pipes from freezing during grid failure.

Risk Score: 74.0
🏠Low Investment

Winter Weather Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 83.4

Sources and Methodology

Spatial Aggregation

Our "Atlas" risk scores are derived using a population-weighted spatial join. Because US Zip Codes and Census Tracts do not share perfectly aligned boundaries, a simple geographic average would be misleading. We utilize US Census Block Group population statistics to identify where residents actually live within a Zip Code. We then intersect these points with FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) hazard data to calculate a weighted exposure score.

Financial Projections (EAL)

Expected Annual Loss (EAL) estimates the average economic impact of natural hazards in dollars per year. This calculation incorporates three components: Exposure (the value of structures and agriculture), Annualized Frequency (historical probability), and Historic Loss Ratio (vulnerability of the area).

Primary Data Sources

  • FEMA National Risk IndexHazard frequency and loss data (v1.20.0)
  • U.S. Census BureauTIGER/Line 2025 Shapefiles & Decennial Population

Nearby Cities

Zip Codes in Lexington-Fayette urban county