Climate Risk Summary

Ellport, PA Risk Profile

The primary drivers of climate-related financial risk in Ellport, PA are Inland Flooding, Tornado, and Lightning. Based on recent federal data, homeowners in this market face an estimated average annual insurance premium of $917, with a local policy non-renewal rate of 0.8%.

City Risk Scorecard
Physical Resilience51/100

Based on FEMA EAL and hazard intensity.

Insurance Stability
Market Stable

Metrics indicate a balanced risk-to-premium environment with standard renewal rates.

Primary Risks

Inland Flooding

$210,843

Expected Annual Loss for Ellport

31.5Score

Relatively Low compared to US average

Ellport
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Tornado

$8,100

Expected Annual Loss for Ellport

28.4Score

Very Low compared to US average

Ellport
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Lightning

$7,407

Expected Annual Loss for Ellport

56.6Score

Relatively Moderate compared to US average

Ellport
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Spatial Analysis

FEMA Flood Zones
FloodwayHighest Risk / Active Channel
High Risk (100-Year)1% Annual Chance Flood
Moderate Risk (500-Year)0.2% Annual Chance Flood
NRI Risk Index
Very Low
Low
Moderate
High
Very High
Extreme

Flood Plain Analysis

Localized Flood Dynamics in Ellport

FEMA Flood Maps for Ellport identify the "100-year" and "500-year" floodplains (1% and 0.2% annual chance), but modern climate risk analysis suggests that nearly 25% of flood insurance claims originate from properties outside of these designated high-risk zones.

Use the map above to better understand risk by looking at both the FEMA flood plain maps and FEMA Risk Inventory maps by census tract. Standard FEMA maps may not account for 'flash flooding' from intense rain events.
FEMA Designation vs. Reality
Relatively Low
Relative Vulnerability
$210,843
Annualized Property Exposure

Insurance Market Stability

Avg. Annual Premium

$917

Estimated baseline property insurance cost prior to localized disaster surcharges.

Non-Renewal Rate

0.8%

The percentage of homeowner policies canceled by insurers, a key indicator of market retreat.

Insurer Loss Ratio

31%

For every $1 collected in premium, insurers are paying out $0.31 in claims.

Financial Risk Inventory

MAJOR DRIVER
Inland Flooding
$210,843
Score: 31.5
MAJOR DRIVER
Tornado
$8,100
Score: 28.4
MAJOR DRIVER
Lightning
$7,407
Score: 56.6
Strong Wind
$6,148
Score: 40.6
Hail
$2,750
Score: 45.0
Cold Wave
$1,800
Score: 19.4
Heat Wave
$1,415
Score: 3.7
Earthquake
$955
Score: 9.3
Ice Storm
$827
Score: 21.8
Winter Weather
$685
Score: 36.5
Hurricane
$460
Score: 33.5
Wildfire
$34
Score: 35.2
Landslide
$1
Score: 45.9

Recommended Mitigation Strategies

Recommended investments to protect your property value and reduce insurance liability based on your local risk profile.

🏠Low Investment

Lightning Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 56.6

Sources and Methodology

Spatial Climate Risk Modeling

The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) and hazard risk scores are derived from the FEMA NRI zip code dataset using a population-weighted spatial join. Because Zip Codes and Census Tracts do not share perfectly aligned boundaries, we utilize US Census Block Group population centroids to identify where residents actually live.

Financial & Insurance Metrics

The pysical resilence score is calculated by synthesizing Expected Annual Loss (EAL) against the total building replacement value within a jurisdiction. This creates a "Loss Ratio" that measures physical resilience. We supplement this with ZIP-code level data from the U.S. Treasury's Federal Insurance Office (FIO), monitoring trends in premium growth, loss ratios, and policy non-renewals to identify emerging "Insurance Deserts."

Primary Data Sources

Nearby Cities

Beaver FallsBig BeaverEllwood CityKoppelNew Beaver

Zip Codes in Ellport

16117