Climate Risk Summary

Machesney Park, IL Risk Profile

The primary drivers of climate-related financial risk in Machesney Park, IL are Inland Flooding, Cold Wave, and Tornado. This area also faces an unusually high intensity for Hail and Strong Wind compared to national averages.

City-Wide Aggregation

These scores represent the population-weighted average across all residential blocks in Machesney Park.

Primary Risks

Inland Flooding

$7,804,607

Expected Annual Loss for Machesney Park

81.7Score

Relatively High compared to US average

Machesney Park
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Cold Wave

$1,589,455

Expected Annual Loss for Machesney Park

88.5Score

Relatively High compared to US average

Machesney Park
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Tornado

$1,464,647

Expected Annual Loss for Machesney Park

81.5Score

Very High compared to US average

Machesney Park
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

City Boundary

Legend
Very Low
Low
Moderate
High
Very High
Extreme

Financial Risk Inventory

MAJOR DRIVER
Inland Flooding
$7,804,607
Score: 81.7
MAJOR DRIVER
Cold Wave
$1,589,455
Score: 88.5
MAJOR DRIVER
Tornado
$1,464,647
Score: 81.5
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Hail
$306,872
Score: 82.9
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Strong Wind
$325,347
Score: 81.3
Heat Wave
$165,025
Score: 42.5
Earthquake
$103,748
Score: 39.9
Lightning
$89,463
Score: 61.5
Ice Storm
$46,342
Score: 64.3
Winter Weather
$21,738
Score: 60.6
Drought
$1,512
Score: 30.6
Wildfire
$487
Score: 31.3
Hurricane
$389
Score: 18.4
Landslide
$50
Score: 50.5

Recommended investments to protect your property value and reduce insurance liability based on your local risk profile.

💧Medium Investment

Inland Flooding Mitigation

Install a smart sump pump with battery backup and extend downspouts 10ft from foundation.

Risk Score: 81.7
🏠Low Investment

Cold Wave Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 88.5
🌪️High Investment

Tornado Mitigation

Reinforce garage doors and consider a FEMA-approved safe room or storm cellar.

Risk Score: 81.5
🧊Medium Investment

Hail Mitigation

Replace roof with Class 4 impact-resistant shingles to significantly lower insurance premiums.

Risk Score: 82.9
💨Low Investment

Strong Wind Mitigation

Trim large trees back from the roofline and reinforce roof-to-wall connectors (hurricane straps).

Risk Score: 81.3
🏠Low Investment

Lightning Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 61.5
❄️Medium Investment

Ice Storm Mitigation

Install a 10kWh backup battery system to keep pipes from freezing during grid failure.

Risk Score: 64.3
🏠Low Investment

Winter Weather Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 60.6
⛰️High Investment

Landslide Mitigation

Professional slope stabilization and foundation drainage inspection is highly recommended.

Risk Score: 50.5

Sources and Methodology

Spatial Aggregation

Our "Atlas" risk scores are derived using a population-weighted spatial join. Because US Zip Codes and Census Tracts do not share perfectly aligned boundaries, a simple geographic average would be misleading. We utilize US Census Block Group population statistics to identify where residents actually live within a Zip Code. We then intersect these points with FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) hazard data to calculate a weighted exposure score.

Financial Projections (EAL)

Expected Annual Loss (EAL) estimates the average economic impact of natural hazards in dollars per year. This calculation incorporates three components: Exposure (the value of structures and agriculture), Annualized Frequency (historical probability), and Historic Loss Ratio (vulnerability of the area).

Primary Data Sources

  • FEMA National Risk IndexHazard frequency and loss data (v1.20.0)
  • U.S. Census BureauTIGER/Line 2025 Shapefiles & Decennial Population

Nearby Cities

Zip Codes in Machesney Park