Climate Risk Summary

Estero, FL Risk Profile

The primary drivers of climate-related financial risk in Estero, FL are Hurricane, Inland Flooding, and Wildfire. This area also faces an unusually high intensity for Lightning and Coastal Flooding compared to national averages.

City-Wide Aggregation

These scores represent the population-weighted average across all residential blocks in Estero.

Primary Risks

Hurricane

$20,084,549

Expected Annual Loss for Estero

98.2Score

Very High compared to US average

Estero
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Inland Flooding

$10,126,589

Expected Annual Loss for Estero

79.7Score

Relatively High compared to US average

Estero
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Wildfire

$552,020

Expected Annual Loss for Estero

87.6Score

Relatively High compared to US average

Estero
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

City Boundary

Legend
Very Low
Low
Moderate
High
Very High
Extreme

Financial Risk Inventory

MAJOR DRIVER
Hurricane
$20,084,549
Score: 98.2
MAJOR DRIVER
Inland Flooding
$10,126,589
Score: 79.7
MAJOR DRIVER
Wildfire
$552,020
Score: 87.6
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Lightning
$364,134
Score: 88.4
Tornado
$205,462
Score: 34.7
Heat Wave
$149,287
Score: 27.9
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Coastal Flooding
$256,554
Score: 86.5
Strong Wind
$30,762
Score: 19.7
Cold Wave
$21,139
Score: 18.6
Earthquake
$3,304
Score: 2.8
Hail
$1,834
Score: 6.3
Landslide
$35
Score: 50.0
Drought
$22
Score: 22.9

Recommended investments to protect your property value and reduce insurance liability based on your local risk profile.

🌀High Investment

Hurricane Mitigation

Install permanent hurricane shutters or upgrade to impact-resistant windows.

Risk Score: 98.2
💧Medium Investment

Inland Flooding Mitigation

Install a smart sump pump with battery backup and extend downspouts 10ft from foundation.

Risk Score: 79.7
🔥Low Investment

Wildfire Mitigation

Create a 5ft 'non-combustible' zone around your home using gravel or pavers instead of mulch.

Risk Score: 87.6
🏠Low Investment

Lightning Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 88.4
🏠Low Investment

Coastal Flooding Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 86.5
⛰️High Investment

Landslide Mitigation

Professional slope stabilization and foundation drainage inspection is highly recommended.

Risk Score: 50.0

Sources and Methodology

Spatial Aggregation

Our "Atlas" risk scores are derived using a population-weighted spatial join. Because US Zip Codes and Census Tracts do not share perfectly aligned boundaries, a simple geographic average would be misleading. We utilize US Census Block Group population statistics to identify where residents actually live within a Zip Code. We then intersect these points with FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) hazard data to calculate a weighted exposure score.

Financial Projections (EAL)

Expected Annual Loss (EAL) estimates the average economic impact of natural hazards in dollars per year. This calculation incorporates three components: Exposure (the value of structures and agriculture), Annualized Frequency (historical probability), and Historic Loss Ratio (vulnerability of the area).

Primary Data Sources

  • FEMA National Risk IndexHazard frequency and loss data (v1.20.0)
  • U.S. Census BureauTIGER/Line 2025 Shapefiles & Decennial Population

Nearby Cities

Zip Codes in Estero