Climate Risk Summary

Grand Junction, CO Risk Profile

The primary drivers of climate-related financial risk in Grand Junction, CO are Inland Flooding, Earthquake, and Lightning.

City-Wide Aggregation

These scores represent the population-weighted average across all residential blocks in Grand Junction.

Primary Risks

Inland Flooding

$8,128,996

Expected Annual Loss for Grand Junction

50.5Score

Relatively High compared to US average

Grand Junction
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Earthquake

$1,478,884

Expected Annual Loss for Grand Junction

67.9Score

Relatively Moderate compared to US average

Grand Junction
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Lightning

$1,029,766

Expected Annual Loss for Grand Junction

95.9Score

Very High compared to US average

Grand Junction
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

City Boundary

Legend
Very Low
Low
Moderate
High
Very High
Extreme

Financial Risk Inventory

MAJOR DRIVER
Inland Flooding
$8,128,996
Score: 50.5
MAJOR DRIVER
Earthquake
$1,478,884
Score: 67.9
MAJOR DRIVER
Lightning
$1,029,766
Score: 95.9
Heat Wave
$227,606
Score: 26.0
Wildfire
$167,030
Score: 45.2
Cold Wave
$127,868
Score: 24.3
Tornado
$72,838
Score: 13.8
Winter Weather
$44,151
Score: 56.4
Strong Wind
$32,414
Score: 15.6
Hail
$32,116
Score: 32.4
Ice Storm
$16,356
Score: 17.0
Drought
$6,372
Score: 36.7
Landslide
$1,424
Score: 56.5

Recommended investments to protect your property value and reduce insurance liability based on your local risk profile.

💧Medium Investment

Inland Flooding Mitigation

Install a smart sump pump with battery backup and extend downspouts 10ft from foundation.

Risk Score: 50.5
🏠Low Investment

Earthquake Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 67.9
🏠Low Investment

Lightning Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 95.9
🏠Low Investment

Winter Weather Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 56.4
⛰️High Investment

Landslide Mitigation

Professional slope stabilization and foundation drainage inspection is highly recommended.

Risk Score: 56.5

Sources and Methodology

Spatial Aggregation

Our "Atlas" risk scores are derived using a population-weighted spatial join. Because US Zip Codes and Census Tracts do not share perfectly aligned boundaries, a simple geographic average would be misleading. We utilize US Census Block Group population statistics to identify where residents actually live within a Zip Code. We then intersect these points with FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) hazard data to calculate a weighted exposure score.

Financial Projections (EAL)

Expected Annual Loss (EAL) estimates the average economic impact of natural hazards in dollars per year. This calculation incorporates three components: Exposure (the value of structures and agriculture), Annualized Frequency (historical probability), and Historic Loss Ratio (vulnerability of the area).

Primary Data Sources

  • FEMA National Risk IndexHazard frequency and loss data (v1.20.0)
  • U.S. Census BureauTIGER/Line 2025 Shapefiles & Decennial Population

Nearby Cities

Zip Codes in Grand Junction