Climate Risk Summary

Medford, OR Risk Profile

The primary drivers of climate-related financial risk in Medford, OR are Earthquake, Inland Flooding, and Heat Wave. This area also faces an unusually high intensity for Winter Weather compared to national averages.

City-Wide Aggregation

These scores represent the population-weighted average across all residential blocks in Medford.

Primary Risks

Earthquake

$16,248,712

Expected Annual Loss for Medford

88.1Score

Very High compared to US average

Medford
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Inland Flooding

$11,178,588

Expected Annual Loss for Medford

53.2Score

Very High compared to US average

Medford
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Heat Wave

$1,893,800

Expected Annual Loss for Medford

82.4Score

Relatively High compared to US average

Medford
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

City Boundary

Legend
Very Low
Low
Moderate
High
Very High
Extreme

Financial Risk Inventory

MAJOR DRIVER
Earthquake
$16,248,712
Score: 88.1
MAJOR DRIVER
Inland Flooding
$11,178,588
Score: 53.2
MAJOR DRIVER
Heat Wave
$1,893,800
Score: 82.4
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Winter Weather
$286,619
Score: 91.0
Wildfire
$121,964
Score: 53.9
Lightning
$101,740
Score: 34.5
Strong Wind
$83,272
Score: 24.2
Hail
$56,904
Score: 38.0
Tornado
$9,798
Score: 2.3
Ice Storm
$4,895
Score: 3.6
Drought
$94
Score: 6.0
Landslide
$109
Score: 17.1
Volcanic Activity
$34
Score: 75.1

Recommended investments to protect your property value and reduce insurance liability based on your local risk profile.

🏠Low Investment

Earthquake Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 88.1
💧Medium Investment

Inland Flooding Mitigation

Install a smart sump pump with battery backup and extend downspouts 10ft from foundation.

Risk Score: 53.2
☀️Low Investment

Heat Wave Mitigation

Ensure attic insulation is R-49+ and consider a dual-fuel backup generator for AC.

Risk Score: 82.4
🏠Low Investment

Winter Weather Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 91.0
🔥Low Investment

Wildfire Mitigation

Create a 5ft 'non-combustible' zone around your home using gravel or pavers instead of mulch.

Risk Score: 53.9
🏠Low Investment

Volcanic Activity Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 75.1

Sources and Methodology

Spatial Aggregation

Our "Atlas" risk scores are derived using a population-weighted spatial join. Because US Zip Codes and Census Tracts do not share perfectly aligned boundaries, a simple geographic average would be misleading. We utilize US Census Block Group population statistics to identify where residents actually live within a Zip Code. We then intersect these points with FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) hazard data to calculate a weighted exposure score.

Financial Projections (EAL)

Expected Annual Loss (EAL) estimates the average economic impact of natural hazards in dollars per year. This calculation incorporates three components: Exposure (the value of structures and agriculture), Annualized Frequency (historical probability), and Historic Loss Ratio (vulnerability of the area).

Primary Data Sources

  • FEMA National Risk IndexHazard frequency and loss data (v1.20.0)
  • U.S. Census BureauTIGER/Line 2025 Shapefiles & Decennial Population

Nearby Cities

Zip Codes in Medford

Climate Risk Analysis for Medford, OR