Climate Risk Summary

Bakersfield, CA Risk Profile

The primary drivers of climate-related financial risk in Bakersfield, CA are Earthquake, Inland Flooding, and Heat Wave.

City-Wide Aggregation

These scores represent the population-weighted average across all residential blocks in Bakersfield.

Primary Risks

Earthquake

$66,831,854

Expected Annual Loss for Bakersfield

87.0Score

Very High compared to US average

Bakersfield
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Inland Flooding

$49,359,628

Expected Annual Loss for Bakersfield

42.4Score

Relatively High compared to US average

Bakersfield
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Heat Wave

$16,663,867

Expected Annual Loss for Bakersfield

89.3Score

Relatively High compared to US average

Bakersfield
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

City Boundary

Legend
Very Low
Low
Moderate
High
Very High
Extreme

Financial Risk Inventory

MAJOR DRIVER
Earthquake
$66,831,854
Score: 87.0
MAJOR DRIVER
Inland Flooding
$49,359,628
Score: 42.4
MAJOR DRIVER
Heat Wave
$16,663,867
Score: 89.3
Wildfire
$576,919
Score: 28.2
Lightning
$340,608
Score: 23.2
Strong Wind
$148,062
Score: 12.5
Hail
$58,129
Score: 16.3
Tornado
$56,318
Score: 2.1
Drought
$42,167
Score: 39.6
Landslide
$5,964
Score: 5.7
Winter Weather
$287
Score: 0.2

Recommended investments to protect your property value and reduce insurance liability based on your local risk profile.

🏠Low Investment

Earthquake Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 87.0
☀️Low Investment

Heat Wave Mitigation

Ensure attic insulation is R-49+ and consider a dual-fuel backup generator for AC.

Risk Score: 89.3

Sources and Methodology

Spatial Aggregation

Our "Atlas" risk scores are derived using a population-weighted spatial join. Because US Zip Codes and Census Tracts do not share perfectly aligned boundaries, a simple geographic average would be misleading. We utilize US Census Block Group population statistics to identify where residents actually live within a Zip Code. We then intersect these points with FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) hazard data to calculate a weighted exposure score.

Financial Projections (EAL)

Expected Annual Loss (EAL) estimates the average economic impact of natural hazards in dollars per year. This calculation incorporates three components: Exposure (the value of structures and agriculture), Annualized Frequency (historical probability), and Historic Loss Ratio (vulnerability of the area).

Primary Data Sources

  • FEMA National Risk IndexHazard frequency and loss data (v1.20.0)
  • U.S. Census BureauTIGER/Line 2025 Shapefiles & Decennial Population

Nearby Cities

Zip Codes in Bakersfield