Climate Risk Summary

Oak Creek Canyon, AZ Risk Profile

The primary drivers of climate-related financial risk in Oak Creek Canyon, AZ are Inland Flooding, Wildfire, and Avalanche. This area also faces an unusually high intensity for Lightning and Landslide compared to national averages.

City-Wide Aggregation

These scores represent the population-weighted average across all residential blocks in Oak Creek Canyon.

Primary Risks

Inland Flooding

$713,800

Expected Annual Loss for Oak Creek Canyon

93.4Score

Relatively High compared to US average

Oak Creek Canyon
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Wildfire

$248,529

Expected Annual Loss for Oak Creek Canyon

98.4Score

Relatively High compared to US average

Oak Creek Canyon
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Avalanche

$228,334

Expected Annual Loss for Oak Creek Canyon

77.2Score

Relatively Low compared to US average

Oak Creek Canyon
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

City Boundary

Legend
Very Low
Low
Moderate
High
Very High
Extreme

Financial Risk Inventory

MAJOR DRIVER
Inland Flooding
$713,800
Score: 93.4
MAJOR DRIVER
Wildfire
$248,529
Score: 98.4
MAJOR DRIVER
Avalanche
$228,334
Score: 77.2
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Lightning
$26,067
Score: 95.7
Earthquake
$16,865
Score: 58.8
Heat Wave
$4,369
Score: 15.6
Hail
$3,330
Score: 53.9
Winter Weather
$2,745
Score: 74.8
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Landslide
$2,745
Score: 97.3
Tornado
$2,532
Score: 16.5
Cold Wave
$886
Score: 18.2
Strong Wind
$705
Score: 13.3
Ice Storm
$437
Score: 15.2
Volcanic Activity
$0
Score: 43.7

Recommended investments to protect your property value and reduce insurance liability based on your local risk profile.

💧Medium Investment

Inland Flooding Mitigation

Install a smart sump pump with battery backup and extend downspouts 10ft from foundation.

Risk Score: 93.4
🔥Low Investment

Wildfire Mitigation

Create a 5ft 'non-combustible' zone around your home using gravel or pavers instead of mulch.

Risk Score: 98.4
🏠Low Investment

Avalanche Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 77.2
🏠Low Investment

Lightning Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 95.7
🏠Low Investment

Earthquake Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 58.8
🧊Medium Investment

Hail Mitigation

Replace roof with Class 4 impact-resistant shingles to significantly lower insurance premiums.

Risk Score: 53.9
🏠Low Investment

Winter Weather Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 74.8
⛰️High Investment

Landslide Mitigation

Professional slope stabilization and foundation drainage inspection is highly recommended.

Risk Score: 97.3

Sources and Methodology

Spatial Aggregation

Our "Atlas" risk scores are derived using a population-weighted spatial join. Because US Zip Codes and Census Tracts do not share perfectly aligned boundaries, a simple geographic average would be misleading. We utilize US Census Block Group population statistics to identify where residents actually live within a Zip Code. We then intersect these points with FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) hazard data to calculate a weighted exposure score.

Financial Projections (EAL)

Expected Annual Loss (EAL) estimates the average economic impact of natural hazards in dollars per year. This calculation incorporates three components: Exposure (the value of structures and agriculture), Annualized Frequency (historical probability), and Historic Loss Ratio (vulnerability of the area).

Primary Data Sources

  • FEMA National Risk IndexHazard frequency and loss data (v1.20.0)
  • U.S. Census BureauTIGER/Line 2025 Shapefiles & Decennial Population

Nearby Cities

Zip Codes in Oak Creek Canyon