Climate Risk Summary

Green Valley, AZ Risk Profile

The primary drivers of climate-related financial risk in Green Valley, AZ are Inland Flooding, Wildfire, and Heat Wave.

City-Wide Aggregation

These scores represent the population-weighted average across all residential blocks in Green Valley.

Primary Risks

Inland Flooding

$3,428,459

Expected Annual Loss for Green Valley

54.8Score

Relatively High compared to US average

Green Valley
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Wildfire

$2,746,676

Expected Annual Loss for Green Valley

96.5Score

Very High compared to US average

Green Valley
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Heat Wave

$2,405,342

Expected Annual Loss for Green Valley

96.9Score

Very High compared to US average

Green Valley
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

City Boundary

Legend
Very Low
Low
Moderate
High
Very High
Extreme

Financial Risk Inventory

MAJOR DRIVER
Inland Flooding
$3,428,459
Score: 54.8
MAJOR DRIVER
Wildfire
$2,746,676
Score: 96.5
MAJOR DRIVER
Heat Wave
$2,405,342
Score: 96.9
Earthquake
$67,333
Score: 35.0
Lightning
$46,934
Score: 47.3
Hail
$39,914
Score: 54.0
Strong Wind
$23,231
Score: 24.0
Tornado
$13,375
Score: 7.4
Drought
$9,635
Score: 23.7
Winter Weather
$3,786
Score: 30.2
Hurricane
$154
Score: 15.3
Landslide
$11
Score: 22.3

Recommended investments to protect your property value and reduce insurance liability based on your local risk profile.

💧Medium Investment

Inland Flooding Mitigation

Install a smart sump pump with battery backup and extend downspouts 10ft from foundation.

Risk Score: 54.8
🔥Low Investment

Wildfire Mitigation

Create a 5ft 'non-combustible' zone around your home using gravel or pavers instead of mulch.

Risk Score: 96.5
☀️Low Investment

Heat Wave Mitigation

Ensure attic insulation is R-49+ and consider a dual-fuel backup generator for AC.

Risk Score: 96.9
🧊Medium Investment

Hail Mitigation

Replace roof with Class 4 impact-resistant shingles to significantly lower insurance premiums.

Risk Score: 54.0

Sources and Methodology

Spatial Aggregation

Our "Atlas" risk scores are derived using a population-weighted spatial join. Because US Zip Codes and Census Tracts do not share perfectly aligned boundaries, a simple geographic average would be misleading. We utilize US Census Block Group population statistics to identify where residents actually live within a Zip Code. We then intersect these points with FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) hazard data to calculate a weighted exposure score.

Financial Projections (EAL)

Expected Annual Loss (EAL) estimates the average economic impact of natural hazards in dollars per year. This calculation incorporates three components: Exposure (the value of structures and agriculture), Annualized Frequency (historical probability), and Historic Loss Ratio (vulnerability of the area).

Primary Data Sources

  • FEMA National Risk IndexHazard frequency and loss data (v1.20.0)
  • U.S. Census BureauTIGER/Line 2025 Shapefiles & Decennial Population

Nearby Cities

Zip Codes in Green Valley