Climate Risk Summary

El Mirage, AZ Risk Profile

The primary drivers of climate-related financial risk in El Mirage, AZ are Inland Flooding, Heat Wave, and Earthquake.

City-Wide Aggregation

These scores represent the population-weighted average across all residential blocks in El Mirage.

Primary Risks

Inland Flooding

$9,746,000

Expected Annual Loss for El Mirage

73.5Score

Relatively High compared to US average

El Mirage
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Heat Wave

$7,723,801

Expected Annual Loss for El Mirage

98.3Score

Very High compared to US average

El Mirage
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Earthquake

$123,121

Expected Annual Loss for El Mirage

28.5Score

Relatively Low compared to US average

El Mirage
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

City Boundary

Legend
Very Low
Low
Moderate
High
Very High
Extreme

Financial Risk Inventory

MAJOR DRIVER
Inland Flooding
$9,746,000
Score: 73.5
MAJOR DRIVER
Heat Wave
$7,723,801
Score: 98.3
MAJOR DRIVER
Earthquake
$123,121
Score: 28.5
Hail
$110,035
Score: 57.1
Strong Wind
$54,513
Score: 25.1
Tornado
$34,581
Score: 8.8
Wildfire
$36,346
Score: 56.5
Lightning
$17,302
Score: 12.3
Drought
$24,881
Score: 43.1
Winter Weather
$482
Score: 15.1
Hurricane
$42
Score: 11.2
Landslide
$0
Score: 3.4

Recommended investments to protect your property value and reduce insurance liability based on your local risk profile.

💧Medium Investment

Inland Flooding Mitigation

Install a smart sump pump with battery backup and extend downspouts 10ft from foundation.

Risk Score: 73.5
☀️Low Investment

Heat Wave Mitigation

Ensure attic insulation is R-49+ and consider a dual-fuel backup generator for AC.

Risk Score: 98.3
🧊Medium Investment

Hail Mitigation

Replace roof with Class 4 impact-resistant shingles to significantly lower insurance premiums.

Risk Score: 57.1
🔥Low Investment

Wildfire Mitigation

Create a 5ft 'non-combustible' zone around your home using gravel or pavers instead of mulch.

Risk Score: 56.5

Sources and Methodology

Spatial Aggregation

Our "Atlas" risk scores are derived using a population-weighted spatial join. Because US Zip Codes and Census Tracts do not share perfectly aligned boundaries, a simple geographic average would be misleading. We utilize US Census Block Group population statistics to identify where residents actually live within a Zip Code. We then intersect these points with FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) hazard data to calculate a weighted exposure score.

Financial Projections (EAL)

Expected Annual Loss (EAL) estimates the average economic impact of natural hazards in dollars per year. This calculation incorporates three components: Exposure (the value of structures and agriculture), Annualized Frequency (historical probability), and Historic Loss Ratio (vulnerability of the area).

Primary Data Sources

  • FEMA National Risk IndexHazard frequency and loss data (v1.20.0)
  • U.S. Census BureauTIGER/Line 2025 Shapefiles & Decennial Population

Nearby Cities

Zip Codes in El Mirage