Climate Risk Summary

Zip Code 72768, Risk Profile

The primary drivers of climate-related financial risk in Bella Vista, AR (72768) are Inland Flooding, Cold Wave, and Ice Storm. This area also faces an unusually high intensity for Wildfire, Heat Wave, Strong Wind, Lightning, Hail, Winter Weather, and Landslide compared to national averages.

Understanding the Dollars

Expected Annual Loss (EAL) is a statistical average of property damage for this entire zip code over a standard year across all properties.

  • / It represents the "average cost" rather than a guaranteed yearly bill.
  • / It can be used to compare the relative risk from different hazards and across different neighborhoods.

Primary Risks

Inland Flooding

$1,001,549

Expected Annual Loss for Zip Code 72768

97.5Score

Very High compared to US average

72768
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Cold Wave

$158,340

Expected Annual Loss for Zip Code 72768

94.0Score

Relatively High compared to US average

72768
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Ice Storm

$111,208

Expected Annual Loss for Zip Code 72768

99.7Score

Very High compared to US average

72768 (OUTLIER)
Minimal Estimated LossMax Estimated Loss

Zip Code Risk Map

Legend
Very Low
Low
Moderate
High
Very High
Extreme

Financial Risk Inventory

MAJOR DRIVER
Inland Flooding
$1,001,549
Score: 97.5
MAJOR DRIVER
Cold Wave
$158,340
Score: 94.0
MAJOR DRIVER
Ice Storm
$111,208
Score: 99.7
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Wildfire
$78,373
Score: 96.6
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Heat Wave
$65,639
Score: 89.8
Tornado
$49,521
Score: 64.9
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Strong Wind
$32,661
Score: 89.1
Earthquake
$23,121
Score: 65.8
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Lightning
$19,529
Score: 92.7
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Hail
$17,230
Score: 82.0
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Winter Weather
$12,917
Score: 96.9
Hurricane
$2,544
Score: 49.7
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Landslide
$530
Score: 93.5

Recommended Mitigation Strategies

Recommended investments to protect your property value and reduce insurance liability based on your local risk profile.

💧Medium Investment

Inland Flooding Mitigation

Install a smart sump pump with battery backup and extend downspouts 10ft from foundation.

Risk Score: 97.5
🏠Low Investment

Cold Wave Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 94.0
❄️Medium Investment

Ice Storm Mitigation

Install a 10kWh backup battery system to keep pipes from freezing during grid failure.

Risk Score: 99.7
🔥Low Investment

Wildfire Mitigation

Create a 5ft 'non-combustible' zone around your home using gravel or pavers instead of mulch.

Risk Score: 96.6
☀️Low Investment

Heat Wave Mitigation

Ensure attic insulation is R-49+ and consider a dual-fuel backup generator for AC.

Risk Score: 89.8
💨Low Investment

Strong Wind Mitigation

Trim large trees back from the roofline and reinforce roof-to-wall connectors (hurricane straps).

Risk Score: 89.1
🏠Low Investment

Lightning Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 92.7
🧊Medium Investment

Hail Mitigation

Replace roof with Class 4 impact-resistant shingles to significantly lower insurance premiums.

Risk Score: 82.0
🏠Low Investment

Winter Weather Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 96.9
⛰️High Investment

Landslide Mitigation

Professional slope stabilization and foundation drainage inspection is highly recommended.

Risk Score: 93.5

Methodology and Sources

Spatial Aggregation

Our "Atlas" risk scores are derived using a population-weighted spatial join. Because US Zip Codes and Census Tracts do not share perfectly aligned boundaries, a simple geographic average would be misleading. We utilize US Census Block Group population statistics to identify where residents actually live within a Zip Code. We then intersect these points with FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) hazard data to calculate a weighted exposure score.

Financial Projections (EAL)

Expected Annual Loss (EAL) estimates the average economic impact of natural hazards in dollars per year. This calculation incorporates three components: Exposure (the value of structures and agriculture), Annualized Frequency (historical probability), and Historic Loss Ratio (vulnerability of the area).

Primary Data Sources

  • FEMA National Risk IndexHazard frequency and loss data (v1.20.0)
  • U.S. Census BureauTIGER/Line 2025 Shapefiles & Decennial Population

Nearby Locations